Minnesota United II (WLWLL) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.5 for The Town (WLLLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 67/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
67/100
Minnesota United II 1-1 The Town
2026-08-09T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 1-0 Minnesota United II
2026-04-13T04:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Minnesota United II 1-0 The Town
2025-09-01T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 3-2 Minnesota United II
2025-07-23T02:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Minnesota United II 1-1 The Town
2024-08-09T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 2-2 Minnesota United II
2023-09-04T04:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Final score
1-1
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 67/100
Strongest cover
12
75.2% probability
Risk classification
High
24.8% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
43 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Minnesota United II
6/15 recent form points
The Town
3/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 4/9.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Over 2.5
Minnesota United II 0-1 The Town
2023-07-30T03:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Minnesota United II 1-4 The Town
2022-09-19T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
The Town 2-1 Minnesota United II
2022-06-09T04:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +5.8% | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24.8% | -1.9% |
| Pinnacle | 3.63 | 27.5% | 24.8% | -2.7% | |
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.8% | -3.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 28.2% | 24.8% | -3.4% | |
| Betano | 3.45 | 29.0% | 24.8% | -4.2% | |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 24.8% | -5.5% | |
Away 1X2 | BetanoBest price +1.9% | 2.47 | 40.5% | 37.1% | -3.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.1% | -3.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 41.0% | 37.1% | -3.9% | |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.1% | -4.6% | |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.1% | -4.6% | |
| 10Bet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 37.1% | -4.9% | |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +2.0% | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.1% | -2.7% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.1% | -3.6% | |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.1% | -3.6% | |
| Betano | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.1% | -3.6% | |
| 10Bet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 38.1% | -3.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 38.1% | -3.9% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +1.3% | 2.64 | 37.9% | 35.6% | -2.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 38.2% | 35.6% | -2.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 39.1% | 35.6% | -3.5% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +0.9% | 1.44 | 69.4% | 64.4% | -5.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 69.4% | 64.4% | -5.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 71.4% | 64.4% | -7.0% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price | 2.75 | 36.4% | 33.3% | -3.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 36.4% | 33.3% | -3.1% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price | 1.36 | 73.5% | 66.7% | -6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 66.7% | -6.8% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 10BetBest price +3.4% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Betano | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 69.9% | 0.0% | -69.9% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.7% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | BetanoBest price +2.6% | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| 10Bet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 63.0%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.