Minnesota United II (LWLWL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.4 for Portland Timbers II (LWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 67/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
67/100
Portland Timbers II 2-1 Minnesota United II
2026-05-14T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Portland Timbers II 1-1 Minnesota United II
2025-07-19T05:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Minnesota United II 2-3 Portland Timbers II
2024-06-26T20:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Portland Timbers II 3-4 Minnesota United II
2024-04-21T23:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Minnesota United II 4-0 Portland Timbers II
2023-07-03T01:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Portland Timbers II 4-2 Minnesota United II
2023-06-03T21:00:00+02:00
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 31 Jul 2026 23:08 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 67/100
Strongest cover
12
76.0% probability
Risk classification
High
24.0% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
46 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Minnesota United II
6/15 recent form points
Portland Timbers II
12/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/8 and Over 2.5 in 7/8.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
BTTS
Over 2.5
Portland Timbers II 2-4 Minnesota United II
2022-09-12T03:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Minnesota United II 3-1 Portland Timbers II
2022-08-01T00:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +2.9% | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24.0% | -2.7% |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 26.9% | 24.0% | -2.9% | |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24.0% | -3.0% | |
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.0% | -3.8% | |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.0% | -3.8% | |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24.0% | -4.6% | |
Home 1X2 | UnibetBest price +11.5% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 35.9% | +0.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 40.5% | 35.9% | -4.6% | |
| 10Bet | 2.45 | 40.8% | 35.9% | -4.9% | |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 40.8% | 35.9% | -4.9% | |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 40.8% | 35.9% | -4.9% | |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 40.8% | 35.9% | -4.9% | |
Away 1X2 | 10BetBest price +2.0% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 40.1% | -3.4% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 43.5% | 40.1% | -3.4% | |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 43.5% | 40.1% | -3.4% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 40.1% | -3.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 43.9% | 40.1% | -3.8% | |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 48.8% | 40.1% | -8.7% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | UnibetBest price +1.1% | 2.55 | 39.2% | 36.8% | -2.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 39.7% | 36.8% | -2.9% | |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 36.8% | -3.2% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.2% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 63.2% | -3.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 70.9% | 63.2% | -7.7% | |
| Unibet | 1.41 | 70.9% | 63.2% | -7.7% | |
No BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +0.9% | 2.67 | 37.5% | 34.8% | -2.7% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.8% | -3.4% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +0.7% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.2% | -6.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 65.2% | -7.3% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | UnibetBest price +3.3% | 1.58 | 63.3% | 0.0% | -63.3% |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 0.0% | -64.5% | |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 67.1% | 0.0% | -67.1% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +4.7% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 70.4% | 0.0% | -70.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.2% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| 10Bet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.