Mexico U21 vs Panama U21

Mexico U21 have been solid at home in this small sample, with 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. They also have 1 clean sheet, and their recent form shows they’ve avoided defeat in their last three outings (WDW). Panama U21’s away record is also strong, with 2 wins and 1 loss from 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding just 1. They’ve kept 2 clean sheets, and their recent form (LWW) suggests they can bounce back quickly after a setback. The draw remains a meaningful possibility given both sides’ comparable scoring output (6 goals each) and strong defensive records (Mexico 2 conceded, Panama 1 conceded). Still, the home win is slightly favored in the provided probabilities (42.8% home win vs 28.4% draw and 28.8% away win), which aligns with Mexico’s better overall result record at home. For goals, the matchup profile points to a moderate chance of over 2.5 total goals (42.9%), and the likelihood of both teams scoring is relatively higher (49.2%). With defenses performing well, the medium risk level fits, since the game could also settle into a lower-scoring or one-sided clean-sheet scenario.