Marseille vs Athletic Club

Athletic Club’s away profile looks stronger in these friendlies data. They are unbeaten with 5 wins in 6 matches and have conceded only 2 goals total, while Marseille have 0 losses but only 1 win in 3 and have not kept a clean sheet. In scoring terms, Athletic Club’s 24 goals across 6 matches is a clear edge over Marseille’s 5 goals in 3. Marseille’s recent form is mixed (DDW), whereas Athletic Club’s recent run is more consistently positive (WWDWW), which supports the higher away-win probability. The goal-related indicators also lean toward Athletic Club. Both teams to score is slightly favored (53.6%), and over 2.5 goals is around even (50.2%), suggesting a match where Marseille can contribute at least once, but Athletic Club’s overall defensive strength and scoring output still make an away result more likely. With away win at 51.2% and confidenceScore 45 with high risk, the edge is modest rather than decisive. A draw remains plausible at 25.5%, especially given Marseille’s unbeaten record in their small sample.