Mali W vs Ghana W

Mali W at home have a balanced start in their two matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4, with no clean sheets yet. Their recent form is LW, suggesting they can compete but have also shown vulnerability in at least one outing. Ghana W away have been slightly more controlled defensively, conceding just 1 goal across two matches and keeping 1 clean sheet. Their recent form is WL, and they’ve managed 2 goals in total, which points to a more cautious style rather than high scoring. The market probabilities lean toward Mali W for a home win (50.1%) with a sizable draw chance (26.1%), while Ghana W’s away win is lower (23.8%). For goals, over 2.5 is under the majority threshold (45.3%), and both teams to score is just above even (50.5%), so a tight, low-to-moderate scoring game is plausible. Overall, the home win call fits the slight edge in the home probability, but the confidence is limited (35) and the risk is high, mainly because both sides’ results are close and the goal indicators do not strongly favor a high-scoring outcome.