Mali W vs Cape Verde W

Mali W at home have scored 1 goal and conceded 2 in their only match, while Cape Verde W have scored 0 and conceded 2. Both teams are coming off a loss, so the edge is mainly that Mali have managed to find the net at least once. The home win outcome is slightly favored at 45.3% versus 26.7% for an away win, with a draw still quite plausible at 28.0%. With both sides having conceded 2 goals, the match profile looks more balanced than a clear mismatch, which aligns with the high risk level and only moderate confidence. For goals, the over 2.5 market sits at 43.9%, and both teams to score is at 49.5%. That suggests a fairly even chance of a low-scoring game versus a more open one, rather than a strong lean toward a dominant result. Overall, Mali W are the mild pick for a home win, but the probabilities and the shared defensive concession record point to uncertainty, so the result could easily swing toward a draw or a narrow away upset.