Macva vs IMT Novi Beograd

IMT Novi Beograd look slightly more likely to win away, with their away win probability at 46.8% versus Macva’s 27.9% at home. Macva’s home sample is small and has been poor so far, with 0 wins and 1 goal scored across 3 matches, while conceding 10. The draw is still plausible at 25.3%, especially since Macva’s recent form is uniformly losing (LLL), which can sometimes keep games tight if they struggle to create chances but also fail to collapse further. Still, IMT’s overall record is more balanced, with 13 wins and 11 draws from 37 matches, suggesting they can avoid defeat more often than Macva. On goals, the match leans toward over 2.5 goals at 50.1%, and both teams to score at 55.0%. IMT’s season totals show they can contribute offensively (41 scored), while Macva’s defense has been leaky (10 conceded in 3 home matches), which supports the idea that IMT may score even if the game is not guaranteed to be high-scoring. With a confidence score of 37 and a high risk level, the away win case is more of a modest edge than a strong conviction. The probabilities are close enough that a draw remains a meaningful alternative.