Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia’s away record is strong relative to Maccabi Tel Aviv’s home performance. CSKA are unbeaten in their 4 away matches (3W 1D 0L), while Maccabi have struggled at home with 3 wins and 8 losses in 12 matches, and their recent form is five straight losses. In goal terms, CSKA’s defensive output looks particularly solid for this matchup. CSKA have conceded 3 goals in 4 away games and kept 2 clean sheets, whereas Maccabi have conceded 26 goals in 12 home matches and have only 1 clean sheet overall. The scoring indicators also lean toward CSKA edging the game. The away win probability is 54.3%, and both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 50.7%, suggesting a competitive match where CSKA can still come out on top even if Maccabi manage to score. For totals, over 2.5 goals is only moderately likely at 46.6%, so a tight margin is plausible rather than a high-scoring blowout. With that mix of CSKA’s defensive strength and Maccabi’s poor recent results, an away win is the lean, but the confidence is limited (40) and the risk is high.