Luunja vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Luunja at home have been productive, scoring 59 goals in 21 matches and winning 13 of 21, with a relatively solid defensive record of 41 conceded. Their recent form includes two wins and a draw in the last five results (DLWWD), which supports the idea that they can create scoring chances consistently. Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have also scored 59 goals in 21 matches, but their away record is weaker (10W 2D 9L) and they concede more on the road, with 49 goals conceded overall. Their recent form is mixed to poor (WWLLL), and they have only one clean sheet across the season, which suggests they may struggle to keep games low scoring. The matchup profile points toward goals: both teams have strong scoring totals, and the clean-sheet rates are limited, especially for the away side. The provided probabilities align with this, with 81.8% for over 2.5 goals and 77.3% for both teams to score, making over 2.5 a favorable but not risk-free call given Parnu’s recent results. With a confidence score of 74 and medium risk, the expectation is more likely than not that the game reaches at least three goals, though the away team’s inconsistency means the margin could vary.