Louisville City (DWDWL) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.1 for Birmingham Legion (LDDLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 69/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
69/100
Birmingham Legion 1-1 Louisville City
2026-06-04T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Louisville City 4-2 Birmingham Legion
2025-06-15T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion 1-1 Louisville City
2025-03-16T21:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Birmingham Legion 1-4 Louisville City
2024-06-30T01:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Louisville City 5-0 Birmingham Legion
2024-03-30T21:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion 2-0 Louisville City
2023-08-19T23:30:00+02:00
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 23:28 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 69/100
Strongest cover
1X
78.1% probability
Risk classification
Medium
24.2% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Louisville City
8/15 recent form points
Birmingham Legion
3/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Louisville City 1-2 Birmingham Legion
2023-07-23T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Louisville City 2-1 Birmingham Legion
2022-07-03T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion 0-0 Louisville City
2022-04-04T01:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Louisville City
2021-10-31T02:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.