AI prediction
Home Win
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 (WWDWL) project at 2.7 expected goals versus 1.1 for Nizhny Novgorod U19 (LWWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 80/100 confidence with low risk.
Confidence
80/100
Nizhny Novgorod U19 2-5 Lokomotiv Moskva U19
2026-03-13T13:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod U19 0-1 Lokomotiv Moskva U19
2025-10-31T13:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod U19
2025-07-04T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod U19 0-4 Lokomotiv Moskva U19
2023-09-15T14:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Final score
4-0
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 79.9% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 80/100
Strongest cover
1X
93.0% probability
Risk classification
Low
13.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
4 sources
31 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
10/15 recent form points
Nizhny Novgorod U19
6/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/4 and Over 2.5 in 2/4.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|
Away 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +10.9% | 12.50 | 8.0% | 7.0% | -1.0% |
| Marathonbet | 12.00 | 8.3% | 7.0% | -1.3% | |
| Dafabet | 11.00 | 9.1% | 7.0% | -2.1% | |
| Superbet | 9.60 | 10.4% | 7.0% | -3.4% | |
Draw 1X2 | SuperbetBest price +7.2% | 6.70 | 14.9% | 13.1% | -1.8% |
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 15.2% | 13.1% | -2.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 5.85 | 17.1% | 13.1% | -4.0% | |
| 1xBet | 5.85 | 17.1% | 13.1% | -4.0% | |
Home 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +1.1% | 1.18 | 84.7% | 79.9% | -4.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 79.9% | -5.6% | |
| Dafabet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 79.9% | -5.6% | |
| Superbet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 79.9% | -7.1% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.9% | -2.7% |
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.9% | -2.7% | |
| Superbet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.9% | -2.7% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price | 1.22 | 82.0% | 74.1% | -7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 74.1% | -7.9% | |
| Superbet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 74.1% | -7.9% | |
No BTTS | 1xBetBest price +1.9% | 2.18 | 45.9% | 42.7% | -3.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 46.7% | 42.7% | -4.0% | |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 42.7% | -4.9% | |
Yes BTTS | SuperbetBest price +2.1% | 1.65 | 60.6% | 57.3% | -3.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.3% | -5.2% | |
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.3% | -5.2% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price +0.3% | 3.94 | 25.4% | 0.0% | -25.4% |
| 1xBet | 3.94 | 25.4% | 0.0% | -25.4% | |
| Superbet | 3.90 | 25.6% | 0.0% | -25.6% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price +0.9% | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% | |
| Superbet | 1.04 | 96.2% | 0.0% | -96.2% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Superbet | 1.01 | 99.0% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
Ranked probability score
0.0227 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Fri, 31 Jul 2026 10:47 UTC, before kickoff at 1.18 (1xBet), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.