Liverpool vs Monaco

Liverpool’s home record in this sample is stronger than Monaco’s away record, with Liverpool at 3W-0D-1L and Monaco at 1W-1D-1L. Liverpool has scored 11 goals and conceded 8 across four matches, while Monaco has scored 6 and conceded 4 across three, suggesting Liverpool can create more scoring opportunities at home even if their defense hasn’t produced clean sheets yet. The overall goal outlook leans toward a match with scoring. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 56.0%, and both teams to score is projected at 59.1%, which fits the combined picture of Liverpool’s 11 goals for and Monaco’s 6 goals for, alongside Monaco’s relatively low 4 goals conceded. For the result, the probabilities point to Liverpool as the most likely outcome, with home win at 47.7% versus away win at 27.5% and draw at 24.8%. The confidence score of 41 and the high risk level indicate this is not a comfortable edge, so a draw or a lower-scoring swing remains plausible. If you’re looking for the most consistent angle from these stats, it’s that Liverpool are more likely to win than Monaco, while the match is also more likely than not to involve goals from both sides.