Lillestrom vs Rosenborg

Lillestrom at home have a stronger overall record than Rosenborg on the road, with 8 wins from 15 at home versus Rosenborg’s 5 wins from 15 away. Their goal difference is also slightly better, scoring 22 and conceding 18 at home, while Rosenborg score 21 and concede 21 away. In recent form, Lillestrom’s sequence is mixed but includes two wins in their last five (LWWLL), while Rosenborg’s recent run is more volatile with three wins and a draw before a loss (DWWWL). That pattern supports a slight edge for Lillestrom, though neither side looks consistently dominant. The match profile leans toward goals: Lillestrom’s home games and Rosenborg’s away games both suggest moderate scoring, and the provided probabilities indicate over 2.5 goals at 51.7% and both teams to score at 55.1%. With that in mind, a home win is plausible, but the draw remains a meaningful alternative given Rosenborg’s ability to avoid defeat in some stretches. Overall, the home win call aligns with the small home advantage in results and goal balance, but the confidence is only medium because the scoring outlook and Rosenborg’s recent wins keep the outcome from looking one-sided.