AI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Lillestrøm II (LLWWL) project at 2.5 expected goals versus 1.5 for Kongsvinger II (LLLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
75/100
Kongsvinger II 3-1 Lillestrøm II
2026-04-14T20:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm II 3-0 Kongsvinger II
2025-10-12T13:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Kongsvinger II 4-1 Lillestrøm II
2025-04-14T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Lillestrøm II 3-2 Kongsvinger II
2021-08-24T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 03 Aug 2026 03:12 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 75/100
Strongest cover
12
81.5% probability
Risk classification
Medium
18.5% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
52 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Lillestrøm II
6/15 recent form points
Kongsvinger II
3/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/4 and Over 2.5 in 4/4.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|
Draw 1X2 | William HillBest price +3.1% | 4.75 | 21.1% | 18.5% | -2.6% |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 21.1% | 18.5% | -2.6% | |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 21.7% | 18.5% | -3.2% | |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 21.7% | 18.5% | -3.2% | |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 22.2% | 18.5% | -3.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 22.5% | 18.5% | -4.0% | |
Away 1X2 | BetVictorBest price +14.3% | 3.90 | 25.6% | 25.5% | -0.1% |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.5% | -2.3% | |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.5% | -3.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 30.3% | 25.5% | -4.8% | |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 30.3% | 25.5% | -4.8% | |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 34.7% | 25.5% | -9.2% | |
Home 1X2 | Bet365Best price +9.4% | 1.83 | 54.6% | 56.0% | +1.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 56.0% | -2.5% | |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 60.6% | 56.0% | -4.6% | |
| Unibet | 1.63 | 61.3% | 56.0% | -5.3% | |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 61.7% | 56.0% | -5.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 62.5% | 56.0% | -6.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetfairBest price +12.5% | 5.50 | 18.2% | 19.0% | +0.8% |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 20.2% | 19.0% | -1.2% | |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 21.7% | 19.0% | -2.7% | |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 22.2% | 19.0% | -3.2% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.5% | 1.17 | 85.5% | 81.0% | -4.5% |
| Unibet | 1.13 | 88.5% | 81.0% | -7.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 90.1% | 81.0% | -9.1% | |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 90.1% | 81.0% | -9.1% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +6.2% | 4.50 | 22.2% | 22.1% | -0.1% |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 23.5% | 22.1% | -1.4% | |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22.1% | -1.7% | |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 25.0% | 22.1% | -2.9% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.7% | 1.20 | 83.3% | 77.9% | -5.4% |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 84.7% | 77.9% | -6.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 84.7% | 77.9% | -6.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 86.2% | 77.9% | -8.3% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +10.2% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 0.0% | -43.5% |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 45.5% | 0.0% | -45.5% | |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 45.5% | 0.0% | -45.5% | |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 52.1% | 0.0% | -52.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 0.0% | -52.6% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price +2.5% | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +1.8% | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% | |
| Unibet | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.