Libertad Asuncion (DDWLW) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1 for Sportivo Trinidense (WDDDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 51/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
51/100
Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense
2026-04-13T01:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Libertad Asuncion
2026-02-15T22:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Libertad Asuncion 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense
2025-10-06T01:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Libertad Asuncion
2025-07-26T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense
2025-05-18T00:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Libertad Asuncion
2025-03-09T00:30:00+01:00
This forecast was recorded on Sun, 09 Aug 2026 19:42 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 51/100
Strongest cover
12
70.5% probability
Risk classification
High
29.5% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Libertad Asuncion
8/15 recent form points
Sportivo Trinidense
7/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
BTTS
Under 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense 2-1 Libertad Asuncion
2024-10-13T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion 2-2 Sportivo Trinidense
2024-08-06T23:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion 2-0 Sportivo Trinidense
2024-04-21T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Libertad Asuncion
2024-01-29T22:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.