Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta
4–1Full timeThu, Jul 30, 09:30 PMEstadio Tigo La Huerta
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
Libertad Asuncion (DDWLW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Deportivo Recoleta (DWLWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 46/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
46/100
Confidence
46/100
Head-to-Head
Libertad Asuncion 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta
2026-03-31T01:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Libertad Asuncion
2026-02-02T22:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta 2-2 Libertad Asuncion
2025-10-27T00:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta
2025-08-10T23:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Libertad Asuncion
2025-04-14T23:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Libertad Asuncion 5-2 Deportivo Recoleta
2025-02-03T00:30:00+01:00
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
4-1
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 53.8% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.2264 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
