Lexington vs Monterey Bay

Lexington at home looks slightly more reliable than Monterey Bay overall. Lexington’s record is 6W 4D 6L with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded, while Monterey Bay is 4W 3D 10L with 17 scored and 27 conceded. Lexington also has more clean sheets (6 vs 4), which supports the idea of a controlled home performance. The recent form leans toward Lexington as well. Lexington’s last five results are WWLWD, whereas Monterey Bay’s are LWDLL, including multiple losses. That pattern aligns with the home win probability being higher than the away win probability (60.8% vs 16.8%). There’s also a moderate chance the match stays relatively open but not guaranteed. Over 2.5 goals is at 52.4%, and both teams to score is 52.7%, suggesting goals are plausible on both sides, though the numbers are close to a coin-flip rather than strongly one-sided. With a confidence score of 71 and medium risk, the home win is the most likely outcome, but the draw remains a meaningful alternative (22.4%). Monterey Bay’s weaker record away keeps the upside for Lexington, yet the goal-related probabilities indicate the result could still be tight.