Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty

Levski Sofia at home have been hard to beat in their small sample, with 2 wins and 2 draws, plus 2 clean sheets and a strong goal difference from 8 scored and 3 conceded. Their recent form includes two wins and two draws across the last four matches, which supports a baseline edge at home. Kairat Almaty’s away record is weaker, with 8 losses out of 16 and a negative goal profile of 16 scored versus 26 conceded. Their recent form is also very poor, showing five straight losses, which reduces confidence in an away turnaround. The probabilities reflect this matchup shape: home win is favored at 67.2% versus 12.6% for an away win, while the draw is still plausible at 20.2%. Over 2.5 goals is only slightly more likely than not at 50.2%, and both teams to score is close to even at 48.5%, suggesting the game could be relatively tight despite the home advantage. With a confidence score of 43 and a high risk level, the home win lean looks reasonable but not strongly reliable, especially given the uncertainty around goal volume and the near-even scoring indicators.