Leones FC vs Quindio

Quindio’s season profile points toward a tighter game. They have conceded 14 goals in 22 matches and kept 11 clean sheets, while Leones FC have scored only 9 goals in 16 matches and conceded 24. That combination suggests fewer clear scoring opportunities for Leones, especially away. The match outcome probabilities also align with a low-scoring lean. The draw is the most likely single result at 29.9%, and Quindio’s away win is 45.4%, but the overall goal expectation is tempered by Quindio’s defensive record and Leones’ low scoring output. With Leones’ recent form reading LLWDW, their ability to consistently generate goals looks limited. The provided goal probabilities support the Under 2.5 angle. Over 2.5 goals is only 34.4%, while both teams to score is 41.7%, indicating that even when goals happen, it may not be in a high total. With a 67 confidence score and medium risk, the bet looks reasonable, though not assured given the draw likelihood and the possibility of a single decisive goal swing.