Leixoes vs Vizela
3–2Full timeWed, Jul 29, 09:30 AM
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 43/100
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Leixoes (L) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1 for Vizela (LL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 43/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
43/100
Confidence
43/100
Head-to-Head
Leixoes 1-2 Vizela
2026-02-20T19:45:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Vizela 2-0 Leixoes
2025-09-26T19:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Vizela 0-0 Leixoes
2025-02-16T12:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Leixoes 0-1 Vizela
2024-09-15T16:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Leixoes 0-4 Vizela
2021-03-29T20:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Vizela 2-1 Leixoes
2020-11-07T18:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Leixoes vs Vizela.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
3-2
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 58.3% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.1946 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Wed, 29 Jul 2026 11:07 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.4. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.