Leicester vs Northampton

Leicester’s home start shows they can score, with 2 goals in their only match, though they also conceded 3. Northampton’s away start has been tighter defensively, conceding 1, but they have not scored yet, with 0 goals in their only match. The overall win probabilities lean slightly toward Leicester at home, with home win at 45.2% versus Northampton’s 28.3% and a 26.5% draw. The draw still looks plausible, since both teams have only played once and both are currently on a losing record. For goals, the match profile points to a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals at 51.4%, supported by Leicester’s 2 scored and 3 conceded in their game. Both teams to score is also favored at 55.5%, which aligns with Leicester conceding in their only match and Northampton having already kept their opponent to 1. Given the small sample size of one match each and both teams currently losing, the confidence is limited, reflected in the high risk level and a confidence score of 43.