Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice

Lech Poznan at home has a stronger overall record than Piast Gliwice on the road, with Lech 16W 12D 6L versus Piast’s 11W 8D 15L. Lech also has the better goal profile, scoring 62 and conceding 45 compared with Piast’s 42 scored and 46 conceded, which supports a slight edge for Lech to take the win. The recent form leans in Lech’s favor as well, with Lech showing WWDWD in their last five compared to Piast’s WDDLL. That combination of better home results and more favorable recent results aligns with the home win leaning at 57.7% versus 19.4% for Piast. There’s also a moderate expectation of goals. Over 2.5 goals is at 55.5%, and both teams to score is at 56.2%, suggesting the match could be open enough for both sides to contribute, even if Lech is more likely to edge the result. With confidence at 54 and risk marked high, the draw remains a meaningful possibility at 22.9%, and Piast’s season goal numbers are not far off defensively. So while a Lech home win is the lean, it’s not strongly one-sided.