Lazio vs Ostia Mare

Lazio at home has a stronger early record than Ostia Mare, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss across 4 matches. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 3, and they’ve kept 2 clean sheets, which supports the idea that they can control the game more often than their opponent. Ostia Mare’s away sample is very small, with 1 match and a record of 0 wins and 1 loss. They’ve scored 0 and conceded 2, and they have no clean sheets, so their ability to create goals looks limited in the provided data. The overall win probabilities lean toward Lazio, with home win at 54.1% versus 19.9% for an away win, but the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high, likely because Ostia Mare’s dataset is minimal. For goals, over 2.5 is at 40.8% and both teams to score is 45.9%, suggesting a fairly mixed chance profile rather than a clear high-scoring script. So a Lazio home win is the most likely outcome in these stats, but the relatively low over-2.5 rate and the uncertainty from limited away data mean it’s not a strong, high-confidence call.