Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots

Las Vegas Lights have a slightly stronger overall record at 6W 4D 7L compared with Oakland Roots’ 5W 6D 7L, and their goal difference is marginally better (25 scored, 27 conceded versus 25 scored, 28 conceded). At home, Las Vegas also show more stability in recent results with LLWWD, while Oakland’s recent form is more difficult to trust with WLLLL. The matchup profile points toward a fairly even game, which aligns with the probabilities being close: Las Vegas win 50.4%, draw 24.5%, and Oakland win 25.1%. Still, the home side’s defensive record is a small edge as well, with more clean sheets (4 vs 2), which can help them avoid a loss even if chances are limited. For goals, both teams’ scoring and concession totals are similar, but the likelihood of more open play is supported by the over 2.5 goals probability of 56.6%. Both teams to score is also favored at 58.9%, suggesting that even if Las Vegas are the better bet to win, the game may not be one-sided. Overall, a home win is a reasonable lean with medium risk, reflecting Las Vegas’s slight edge in results and clean sheets, but with enough draw and away-win probability to keep uncertainty in mind.