Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba

Lanus at home have been relatively tight defensively, conceding 17 goals in 18 matches and keeping 8 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed (LDDLW), and their overall scoring output is modest at 19 goals, which supports a lower-scoring game script. Instituto Cordoba’s away record is less consistent (7W 3D 8L), but their goals for and against are balanced at 19 and 19. They also have fewer clean sheets on the road (4), so while they can score, they don’t dominate matches, which keeps the ceiling for a high total goals outcome limited. The market-style probabilities align with this: over 2.5 goals sits at 39.6%, while both teams to score is 45.8%. With Lanus and Instituto both showing similar goal totals and fairly even defensive profiles, the under 2.5 angle looks more plausible than a frequent multi-goal pattern, though the medium risk reflects the possibility of a couple of goals swinging the game over the line.