Lørenskog vs Hønefoss

Lørenskog at home have a strong overall record with 8 wins in 13 matches, and they’ve been relatively solid defensively with 12 goals conceded and 5 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed but includes a run of positive results (DWWWL), suggesting they can control games at home even if they’re not consistently perfect. Hønefoss away are also close in overall performance, with 8 wins in 13 and 30 goals scored, but their defense has been more vulnerable on the road, conceding 18 and keeping only 2 clean sheets. Their recent form (DLWWW) looks better than Lørenskog’s, which helps explain why the away win probability is not negligible. The match profile leans toward goals: both teams to score is favored at 59.8%, and over 2.5 goals is favored at 58.1%. With Lørenskog’s home scoring (25 in 13) and Hønefoss’s higher total goals (30 in 13), a competitive game with scoring from both sides is more likely than a low-scoring outcome. So while a home win is slightly more likely (51.5% vs 24.5% for Hønefoss), the draw remains a meaningful risk (24.0%), and the goal expectations reduce confidence in a clean, one-sided result.