Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

Krylia Sovetov at home have scored 35 goals in 30 matches and conceded 50, with only 6 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed, showing results like LWWLW, which suggests they can produce goals but also struggle to keep games controlled. Baltika away have been more defensively solid, conceding just 21 goals in 30 matches and recording 14 clean sheets. However, their recent form is poor (DLLLL), which points to limited scoring output recently despite their season-long defensive strength. With Krylia’s home scoring not especially high and Baltika’s strong defensive record, the match profile leans toward fewer total goals. The probabilities also reflect this uncertainty: over 2.5 goals is only slightly favored at 42.8%, while both teams to score is relatively high at 49.4%, indicating a meaningful chance of a low-to-mid scoring game with at least one team finding a goal. Overall, the under 2.5 goals angle fits the season defensive contrast, but the high risk level is reasonable given Krylia’s tendency to concede and Baltika’s recent scoring struggles.