Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa

Korona Kielce at home have scored 40 goals and conceded 40 across 34 matches, with 9 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed, showing several low-output results in the sequence DDLWD, which supports the idea that scoring may be limited. Legia Warszawa away have scored 42 and conceded 37 in 34 matches, with 11 clean sheets. Their recent form is stronger, LWWWW, and that improves the chance they can score, but their overall goal totals still suggest games that are not consistently high scoring. With both teams’ season scoring and conceding totals sitting close to each other, the match profile leans toward fewer goals rather than a shootout. The probabilities also point slightly toward Under 2.5 goals, even though both teams to score is relatively high at 49.5%, so a 2-1 or 1-1 type outcome is plausible. Overall, the under 2.5 goals call fits the balance in goals for and against, but the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high because Legia’s recent run could still push the game into 3+ goals.