Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Celtic’s away record is stronger than Kilmarnock’s home record, with Celtic winning 26 of 38 away matches versus Kilmarnock’s 10 wins at home. The goal profiles also lean toward Celtic: Kilmarnock have scored 50 and conceded 68 at home, while Celtic have scored 73 and conceded 41 away, suggesting better control and fewer goals allowed. Kilmarnock’s recent form shows some inconsistency, with their sequence reading LWWWW, while Celtic’s recent form is uniformly strong at W W W W W. That combination of steadier recent results and a stronger overall away record supports the case for an away win, though the confidence is only moderate. The market-style outputs align with this direction. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 56.5%, and both teams to score is even more likely at 59.6%, which implies a match where Celtic can win but Kilmarnock may still find scoring opportunities. With away win at 46.5% and draw at 25.0%, the edge for Celtic is present but not overwhelming, so the away win call carries higher variance rather than a clear dominance.