Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II

Kattaqurgon at home has been solid, with 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from 12 matches, plus 7 clean sheets. Their goals record is also strong at 15 scored and only 7 conceded, which supports the idea they can control the game and avoid conceding. Pakhtakor II away has struggled heavily, with just 1 win and 10 losses in 12 matches. They’ve scored 7 goals but conceded 29, and they have zero clean sheets, suggesting they’re finding it difficult to keep games close on the road. The recent form also leans toward Kattaqurgon, with their sequence reading D W L W W, while Pakhtakor II’s is L L L L L. With the home win probability at 72.5% and the draw at 18.3%, the matchup profile favors Kattaqurgon, though the confidence is not extreme. For goals, over 2.5 is only slightly more likely than not at 50.8%, and both teams to score sits at 44.6%. That points to a home win that may not always come with a high-scoring script, aligning with a medium risk level rather than a sure thing.