Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock

Kashiwa Reysol at home look more likely to win, with a home record of 8W 0D 12L and a recent run of WWWWL followed by a loss. Their goal difference is slightly positive at 28 scored and 27 conceded, and they have kept 5 clean sheets, which supports the idea they can control games at their ground. Mito Hollyhock’s away profile is weaker, with 6W 0D 14L and only 2 clean sheets. They have struggled for results recently, showing LLLLL in their latest form, and their defense has been leaky with 41 conceded versus 23 scored. The matchup also points toward a moderate chance of goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57.9% and both teams to score at 56.4%. That aligns with Kashiwa’s ability to score (28 goals) while Mito’s concession rate (41) suggests they may concede even if they don’t always create enough to win. Overall, the home win lean is supported by the stronger home record, better recent form, and slightly better goal balance, but the confidence is not extreme given Mito’s ability to score 23 goals and the draw probability of 21.1%.