Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0Full timeWed, Jul 29, 03:00 PMCentral Stadium
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Kairat Almaty (LLLLL) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1.2 for Omonia Nicosia (W). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 36/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
36/100
Confidence
36/100
Head-to-Head
Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Kairat Almaty
2026-07-22T19:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Omonia Nicosia 0-0 Kairat Almaty
2021-12-09T21:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kairat Almaty 0-0 Omonia Nicosia
2021-09-16T16:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-0
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 57.7% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.3272 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Wed, 29 Jul 2026 14:53 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
