AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 45/100
Juve Stabia (W) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1 for Cavese (W). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 45/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
45/100
Cavese 1-2 Juve Stabia
2021-02-16T17:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Juve Stabia 2-0 Cavese
2020-10-22T20:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Juve Stabia 2-2 Cavese
2019-03-10T18:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Cavese 0-1 Juve Stabia
2018-11-10T20:45:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market |
|---|
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 06 Aug 2026 18:05 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
1X
88.7% probability
Risk classification
High
19.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
38 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Juve Stabia
3/3 recent form points
Cavese
3/3 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/4 and Over 2.5 in 2/4.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Bookmaker |
|---|
| Odds |
|---|
| Implied |
|---|
| AI |
|---|
| Gap |
|---|
Away 1X2 | Bet365Best price +7.0% | 8.00 | 12.5% | 11.3% | -1.2% |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 12.5% | 11.3% | -1.2% | |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 12.5% | 11.3% | -1.2% | |
| 1xBet | 7.37 | 13.6% | 11.3% | -2.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 7.00 | 14.3% | 11.3% | -3.0% | |
| Betano | 6.50 | 15.4% | 11.3% | -4.1% | |
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +4.5% | 4.60 | 21.7% | 19.6% | -2.1% |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 22.2% | 19.6% | -2.6% | |
| 1xBet | 4.47 | 22.4% | 19.6% | -2.8% | |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 23.1% | 19.6% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 23.5% | 19.6% | -3.9% | |
| Betano | 4.25 | 23.5% | 19.6% | -3.9% | |
Home 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +3.6% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 69.1% | -2.3% |
| Betano | 1.39 | 71.9% | 69.1% | -2.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 69.1% | -4.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 75.2% | 69.1% | -6.1% | |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 69.1% | -6.1% | |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 69.1% | -7.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.4% | 2.08 | 48.1% | 46.7% | -1.4% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.3% | |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.3% | |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 50.3% | 46.7% | -3.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 50.8% | 46.7% | -4.1% | |
| Betano | 1.91 | 52.4% | 46.7% | -5.7% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | 1xBetBest price +0.9% | 1.74 | 57.5% | 53.3% | -4.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.3% | -4.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.3% | -4.5% | |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.3% | -4.5% | |
| Betano | 1.72 | 58.1% | 53.3% | -4.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.3% | -5.5% | |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +1.4% | 2.03 | 49.3% | 46.1% | -3.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 49.3% | 46.1% | -3.2% | |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 51.3% | 46.1% | -5.2% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +2.1% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.9% | -3.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.9% | -3.9% | |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 59.9% | 53.9% | -6.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 60.6% | 53.9% | -6.7% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.