Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau

Juan Pablo II College have struggled overall with 5 wins and 10 losses from 20 matches, and they’ve conceded 44 goals while scoring 26. Their recent form is mixed but slightly positive at the end, with DLDWL in the last five, suggesting they can still produce results at home even if consistency is limited. Atletico Grau’s away record is also weak, with 5 wins and 11 losses from 20 matches, but they have been more defensively solid than the home side, conceding 22 goals and keeping 6 clean sheets. Their recent form is poorer overall, with LWWLL, which points to inconsistency on the road. The home win lean is supported by the matchup probabilities provided, where Juan Pablo II College are rated at 44.1% for a win versus 28.8% for Atletico Grau, with a relatively high draw chance at 27.1%. With both teams to score at 53.3% and over 2.5 goals at 48.1%, the game profile looks closer to a competitive, possibly low-to-mid scoring contest rather than a clear blowout. So the home win call is reasonable but not strong, aligning with the medium risk level and the moderate confidence score of 70. The main uncertainty is the sizable draw probability and Atletico Grau’s ability to keep clean sheets despite their recent results.