Super League
Finished
High risk

Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Kuching FA

30Full time
Fri, Aug 21, 01:00 PMSultan Ibrahim Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 58/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Johor Darul Takzim FC (WDWWW) project at 2 expected goals versus 0.9 for Kuching FA (WDWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

58/100

Confidence
58/100

Strongest cover

1X

86.3% probability

Risk classification

High

20.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

JDT win65.7%
Draw20.6%
KF win13.7%

Goals

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%

Both teams to score

Yes52.2%
No47.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Johor Darul Takzim FC

13/15 recent form points

WDWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
4.88
Shots on target
Unavailable

Kuching FA

13/15 recent form points

WDWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.88
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Johor Darul Takzim FC 3-0 Kuching FA

2026-08-21T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Johor Darul Takzim FC 2-0 Kuching FA

2026-05-23T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Johor Darul Takzim FC 2-1 Kuching FA

2026-01-14T13:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Johor Darul Takzim FC 2-0 Kuching FA

2025-11-30T13:15:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kuching FA 1-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC

2025-11-09T12:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kuching FA 0-1 Johor Darul Takzim FC

2025-08-24T14:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kuching FA 0-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC

2025-04-16T14:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Johor Darul Takzim FC 2-1 Kuching FA

2024-09-27T14:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Johor Darul Takzim FC 2-0 Kuching FA

2023-11-23T13:15:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kuching FA 0-4 Johor Darul Takzim FC

2023-05-19T14:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Johor Darul Takzim FC have been extremely strong at home, going 23W 1D 0L in 24 matches, with 117 goals scored and only 10 conceded. Their defensive record is especially dominant, with 16 clean sheets, which supports a home edge even if Kuching FA can stay competitive. Kuching FA’s overall away record is solid (16W 5D 3L) and they have been hard to break down at times, with 13 clean sheets and only 14 goals conceded. However, their scoring output is much lower than Johor Darul Takzim’s (45 away goals versus 117 home goals), which limits how often they can turn matches in their favor. The market-style probabilities align with this: Johor Darul Takzim are favored for a home win (65.7%) with a draw still plausible (20.6%). Over 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not (56.0%), and both teams to score is close to even (52.2%), suggesting the match could be relatively controlled by the home side but not necessarily one-sided in scoring. With a confidence score of 58 and a high risk level, the main uncertainty is that Kuching FA’s away results and clean-sheet rate indicate they can avoid heavy defeats. Still, Johor Darul Takzim’s near-perfect home record and far superior goal difference make a home win the most consistent lean.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 65.7% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.0682 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Fri, 21 Aug 2026 10:31 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Johor Darul Takzim FC predictions · Kuching FA predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.