Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea

Johor Darul Takzim FC have scored 3 goals in 4 matches and conceded 4, with only 1 clean sheet. Their recent form is DLLW, which suggests they have struggled to consistently generate offense, and the overall goal output is relatively low. Chelsea have scored 6 goals in 3 matches and conceded 3, with 1 clean sheet, and their recent form is LWW. That indicates they can create chances and score, but their conceded total is also modest, which keeps the match from looking like a high-scoring shootout. With Johor’s limited scoring and Chelsea’s relatively controlled concession rate, the balance leans toward fewer total goals. The probabilities provided also support this direction, with over 2.5 goals at 42.0% and both teams to score at 48.7%, leaving the under 2.5 outcome as the more likely side, though the confidence is not strong. Given the close draw and away-win probabilities and the uncertainty implied by the high risk level, this is best viewed as a lean rather than a firm call.