Pre-match

Medium risk

Itabirito U20 vs Coimbra U20

Fri, Aug 28, 01:00 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 63/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Itabirito U20 (WLDWL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.1 for Coimbra U20 (WWLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 63/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

63/100

Confidence

63/100

Strongest cover

73.6% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.4% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

51 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

IU win32.4%

Draw26.4%

CU win41.2%

Goals

Over 1.572.7%

Over 2.552.7%

Under 2.547.3%

Both teams to score

Yes57.4%

No42.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Itabirito U20

7/15 recent form points

WLDWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.44
Shots on target: Unavailable

Coimbra U20

9/15 recent form points

WWLWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.07
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 28, 08:51 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Itabirito U20 1-2 Coimbra U20

2025-06-14T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	PinnacleBest price +3.6%	3.42	29.2%	26.4%	-2.8%
	Bet365	3.40	29.4%	26.4%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	3.40	29.4%	26.4%	-3.0%
	1xBet	3.38	29.6%	26.4%	-3.2%
	William Hill	3.10	32.3%	26.4%	-5.9%
	BetVictor	3.10	32.3%	26.4%	-5.9%
Home 1X2	1xBetBest price +5.2%	2.92	34.2%	32.4%	-1.8%
	Marathonbet	2.85	35.1%	32.4%	-2.7%
	William Hill	2.80	35.7%	32.4%	-3.3%
	Pinnacle	2.79	35.8%	32.4%	-3.4%
	BetVictor	2.70	37.0%	32.4%	-4.6%
	Bet365	2.60	38.5%	32.4%	-6.1%
Away 1X2	Bet365Best price +6.9%	2.30	43.5%	41.2%	-2.3%
	William Hill	2.20	45.5%	41.2%	-4.3%
	1xBet	2.16	46.3%	41.2%	-5.1%
	Marathonbet	2.14	46.7%	41.2%	-5.5%
	Pinnacle	2.11	47.4%	41.2%	-6.2%
	BetVictor	2.00	50.0%	41.2%	-8.8%
Under 2.5 Totals	PinnacleBest price +3.3%	2.00	50.0%	47.3%	-2.7%
	Marathonbet	1.98	50.5%	47.3%	-3.2%
	1xBet	1.97	50.8%	47.3%	-3.5%
	Bet365	1.95	51.3%	47.3%	-4.0%
	BetVictor	1.78	56.2%	47.3%	-8.9%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +7.9%	1.85	54.1%	52.7%	-1.4%
	1xBet	1.73	57.8%	52.7%	-5.1%
	Marathonbet	1.72	58.1%	52.7%	-5.4%
	Pinnacle	1.70	58.8%	52.7%	-6.1%
	BetVictor	1.57	63.7%	52.7%	-11.0%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +4.1%	2.20	45.5%	42.6%	-2.9%
	1xBet	2.17	46.1%	42.6%	-3.5%
	Marathonbet	2.13	46.9%	42.6%	-4.3%
	BetVictor	1.95	51.3%	42.6%	-8.7%
Yes BTTS	MarathonbetBest price +2.6%	1.59	62.9%	57.4%	-5.5%
	1xBet	1.59	62.9%	57.4%	-5.5%
	William Hill	1.57	63.7%	57.4%	-6.3%
	BetVictor	1.45	69.0%	57.4%	-11.6%
Home or Draw Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price +2.1%	1.56	64.1%	0.0%	-64.1%
	1xBet	1.56	64.1%	0.0%	-64.1%
	William Hill	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	BetVictor	1.53	65.4%	0.0%	-65.4%
	Bet365	1.44	69.4%	0.0%	-69.4%
Draw or Away Double Chance	Bet365Best price +6.4%	1.44	69.4%	0.0%	-69.4%
	William Hill	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	BetVictor	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Marathonbet	1.32	75.8%	0.0%	-75.8%
	1xBet	1.32	75.8%	0.0%	-75.8%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +6.6%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.23	81.3%	0.0%	-81.3%
	1xBet	1.23	81.3%	0.0%	-81.3%
	BetVictor	1.09	91.7%	0.0%	-91.7%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Itabirito U20 vs Coimbra U20. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 28 Aug 2026 12:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

More predictions

All Mineiro U20 predictions →

Team hubs: Itabirito U20 predictions · Coimbra U20 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.