IR Reykjavik vs Ægir

IR Reykjavik at home have a tougher overall record than a dominant side, but they do look more competitive than Ægir in this matchup. Their 4W 4D 8L home record contrasts with Ægir’s 2W 2D 12L away record, and IR Reykjavik have scored more (27 vs 19) while conceding slightly less (36 vs 43). The goal profile also leans toward IR Reykjavik. IR Reykjavik’s goals conceded and Ægir’s goals conceded suggest a game where scoring is plausible, and the combined probabilities point to over 2.5 goals (69.1%) and both teams to score (65.9%). That aligns with IR Reykjavik’s ability to find goals at least occasionally, even if they are not consistently keeping clean sheets. Recent form is mixed for IR Reykjavik (LDLDW), while Ægir’s recent form is very weak (LLLLL). That difference supports the home win lean, reflected in the home win probability of 62.1% versus 18.4% for an Ægir win. Overall, the home win call looks reasonable with medium risk. The confidence score of 73 suggests a favorable edge for IR Reykjavik, but the relatively high draw probability (19.5%) and the strong chance of goals on both sides mean the result is not guaranteed.