Internacional vs Corinthians

Corinthians’ away record is strong with 8 wins in 10 and only 3 goals conceded across those matches, alongside 8 clean sheets. Internacional at home has been more controlled than prolific, scoring 6 and conceding 3 in 4 matches, with 2 clean sheets. That combination suggests a matchup where Corinthians can limit chances and keep the game from opening up. The goal totals also point toward fewer goals. Internacional’s home output is modest (6 scored in 4), while Corinthians’ defense is very tight (3 conceded in 10). With both sides conceding relatively little, the likelihood of a low-scoring script is supported, even though Corinthians’ away win probability is higher than a draw or home win. The probabilities align with an Under 2.5 lean: over 2.5 goals is at 38.8%, while both teams to score is 46.2%, which is not dominant. With a high risk level and only moderate confidence (36), the main uncertainty is whether Internacional can break through against a defense that has been consistently shut down. Overall, the stats support Under 2.5 goals as the more plausible outcome, but the confidence is limited because the match could still produce a couple of decisive moments that push it over the line.