Internacional de Bogota vs Jaguares

Internacional de Bogota at home has a more balanced season record than Jaguares, with 8 wins in 23 matches versus Jaguares’ 5 wins in 22. Defensively, Internacional have kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 37, while Jaguares have 4 clean sheets and conceded 39, suggesting Internacional can be slightly more stable in limiting chances. Recent form leans against Internacional, with four straight losses before a win in their latest five, while Jaguares have only one draw and four losses in their last five. That contrast keeps the home side as the more likely outcome, even if neither team looks in strong short-term rhythm. For goals, the matchup is fairly close, but the indicators point to a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals (52.8%). Both teams’ scoring output is modest, yet Jaguares’ 39 conceded and Internacional’s 29 scored support the idea that a multi-goal game is plausible rather than unlikely. Overall, the home win profile is stronger than the away win profile, with probabilities showing 56.5% for Internacional, 23.5% for a draw, and 20.0% for Jaguares. The confidence is medium (72) because Internacional’s recent form is weak, which leaves room for the match to be tighter than expected.