Friendlies Clubs
Finished
Medium risk

Inter vs Real Betis result & prediction review

1–0Full time
Sat, Aug 15, 05:30 PM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 66/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

Inter (WWDWW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1 for Real Betis (WWWDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 66/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

66/100

Confidence
66/100

Strongest cover

1X

80.6% probability

Risk classification

Medium

24.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

I win56%
Draw24.6%
RB win19.4%

Goals

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%

Both teams to score

Yes50.6%
No49.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Inter

13/15 recent form points

WWDWW
xG / match
3.11
xGA / match
1.49
Goals / match
1.60
Shots on target
Unavailable

Real Betis

10/15 recent form points

WWWDL
xG / match
1.88
xGA / match
1.83
Goals / match
1.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

I derived xG

2.47

RB derived xG

1.69

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 4.16. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Inter 1-0 Real Betis

2026-08-15T19:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Real Betis 1-1 Inter

2022-12-17T18:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Inter vs Real Betis. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 46.1% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.1828 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Fri, 14 Aug 2026 19:06 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Inter predictions · Real Betis predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.