Inter San Carlos vs San Carlos

Inter San Carlos at home has started with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss across 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 4, with no clean sheets so far. That suggests they can be competitive but have not yet shown strong defensive control. San Carlos away has a tougher overall record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 20 losses from 36 matches, with 36 goals scored and 56 conceded. Their recent form is mixed to weak (LWLLD), which lowers the likelihood of them consistently winning on the road. The probabilities lean slightly toward an Inter San Carlos home win (46.5%) versus a draw (26.6%) or San Carlos away win (26.9%), but the gap is not large, aligning with the high risk level. Over 2.5 goals is just above coin-flip (50.3%), and both teams to score is more likely than not (54.0%), which fits the idea of a relatively open match rather than a comfortable shutout. Overall, the home win call is plausible but not strongly supported by the limited home sample and the close win/draw/away-win probabilities.