Inhulets vs Polissya II

Inhulets at home have a moderately positive record with 12 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, and they’ve scored 41 while conceding 32 across 30 matches. Their recent form is mixed but includes wins (WDDWL), and they also keep clean sheets in 11 of their 30 games, which supports the idea that they can avoid a heavy defeat. Polissya II’s away sample is extremely small, with only 1 match played and a 0W 1D 0L record, scoring 2 and conceding 2. With no clean sheets recorded in that limited data, their ability to consistently handle stronger home opposition is less clear. The goal outlook is fairly balanced: Inhulets’ season numbers (41 scored, 32 conceded) suggest they can contribute to scoring, while Polissya II have shown they can match that level in their only away game. That aligns with the probabilities that both teams to score is slightly more likely than not (53.4%), and over 2.5 goals is just under coin-flip (50.9%). Overall, the home win lean is reasonable but not strong, reflected by a 55.3% home win probability and a high risk level. A draw remains a meaningful alternative at 24.2%, so the edge for Inhulets is present but limited.