Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora

Aurora’s away record is stronger than Independiente Petrolero’s home record, with Aurora at 5W 6D 1L versus Independiente Petrolero at 4W 3D 5L. Still, both teams have similar defensive output in terms of goals conceded, with Independiente Petrolero allowing 19 in 12 and Aurora allowing 14 in 12, which keeps the match open rather than one-sided. Independiente Petrolero’s recent form is weak, with four straight losses before a win, and that can increase the chance of conceding in a game where they may struggle to control play. Aurora’s recent form is more mixed but steadier, including multiple draws, which often supports scenarios where both teams manage to score. The overall goal indicators point toward a close, competitive game. Both teams to score is at 58.4%, and over 2.5 goals is at 54.2%, aligning with the idea that neither side is dominating in scoring or preventing goals. With BTTS Yes at the center and a 59 confidence score, the pick looks plausible, but the high risk reflects the uncertainty from Independiente Petrolero’s poor run of form.