Pre-match

Medium risk

Incheon Red Angels W vs Hwacheon KSPO W

Fri, Jul 31, 10:00 AM

AI prediction

Model verdict

Medium risk

Away Win

Incheon Red Angels W (WDLLL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.4 for Hwacheon KSPO W (WLWDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

72/100

Confidence

72/100

Head-to-Head

Hwacheon KSPO W 2-2 Incheon Red Angels W

2026-04-24T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Incheon Red Angels W 1-3 Hwacheon KSPO W

2025-09-15T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Hwacheon KSPO W 3-1 Incheon Red Angels W

2025-06-19T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Hwacheon KSPO W 3-1 Incheon Red Angels W

2025-05-08T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Incheon Red Angels W 1-0 Hwacheon KSPO W

2025-03-27T11:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Hwacheon KSPO W 2-1 Incheon Red Angels W

2024-09-12T12:00:00+02:00

AI Reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Incheon Red Angels W vs Hwacheon KSPO W. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 30 Jul 2026 23:32 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Incheon Red Angels W

4/15 recent form points

WDLLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.06
Shots on target: Unavailable

Hwacheon KSPO W

10/15 recent form points

WLWDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.60
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.5
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Home 1X2	Bet365Best price +2.7%	3.60	27.8%	25.0%	-2.8%
	Betfair	3.60	27.8%	25.0%	-2.8%
	Pinnacle	3.57	28.0%	25.0%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	3.52	28.4%	25.0%	-3.4%
	William Hill	3.50	28.6%	25.0%	-3.6%
	Unibet	3.25	30.8%	25.0%	-5.8%
Draw 1X2	UnibetBest price +3.3%	3.35	29.9%	27.2%	-2.7%
	Bet365	3.30	30.3%	27.2%	-3.1%
	Betfair	3.30	30.3%	27.2%	-3.1%
	Pinnacle	3.27	30.6%	27.2%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	3.24	30.9%	27.2%	-3.7%
	William Hill	3.00	33.3%	27.2%	-6.1%
Away 1X2	William HillBest price +1.1%	1.95	51.3%	47.8%	-3.5%
	Unibet	1.95	51.3%	47.8%	-3.5%
	Pinnacle	1.95	51.3%	47.8%	-3.5%
	Marathonbet	1.92	52.1%	47.8%	-4.3%
	Bet365	1.90	52.6%	47.8%	-4.8%
	Betfair	1.90	52.6%	47.8%	-4.8%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +7.8%	2.20	45.5%	45.5%	+0.0%
	Pinnacle	2.16	46.3%	45.5%	-0.8%
	Marathonbet	2.08	48.1%	45.5%	-2.6%
	Betfair	2.00	50.0%	45.5%	-4.5%
	Unibet	1.76	56.8%	45.5%	-11.3%
Under 2.5 Totals	UnibetBest price +9.8%	1.88	53.2%	54.5%	+1.3%
	Betfair	1.73	57.8%	54.5%	-3.3%
	Bet365	1.65	60.6%	54.5%	-6.1%
	Marathonbet	1.65	60.6%	54.5%	-6.1%
	Pinnacle	1.65	60.6%	54.5%	-6.1%
No BTTS	UnibetBest price +10.4%	2.05	48.8%	49.6%	+0.8%
	Betfair	1.85	54.1%	49.6%	-4.5%
	Marathonbet	1.78	56.2%	49.6%	-6.6%
	William Hill	1.75	57.1%	49.6%	-7.5%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +4.9%	1.91	52.4%	50.4%	-2.0%
	Marathonbet	1.86	53.8%	50.4%	-3.4%
	Betfair	1.85	54.1%	50.4%	-3.7%
	Unibet	1.66	60.2%	50.4%	-9.8%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Bet365Best price +3.4%	1.80	55.6%	0.0%	-55.6%
	Betfair	1.80	55.6%	0.0%	-55.6%
	William Hill	1.75	57.1%	0.0%	-57.1%
	Marathonbet	1.70	58.8%	0.0%	-58.8%
	Unibet	1.65	60.6%	0.0%	-60.6%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.8%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Betfair	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Unibet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
Draw or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +1.6%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Bet365	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Unibet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Marathonbet	1.21	82.6%	0.0%	-82.6%

Incheon Red Angels W vs Hwacheon KSPO W

Away Win

Head-to-Head

AI Reasoning

Recorded forecast

Market probabilities

Evidence ledger

Matchup xG signal

Value read

Model card

Odds Comparison