Inca Aruba vs FAS
0–266′Sun, Aug 2, 11:30 PM
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 40/100
Model verdict
High risk
Away Win
Inca Aruba (LL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.8 for FAS (DWLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 40/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
40/100
Confidence
40/100
Head-to-Head
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
FAS looks more likely to win away, with a 59.8% away-win probability versus 18.5% for Inca Aruba and 21.7% for a draw. The season profile also favors FAS: 33 wins out of 51 matches, compared with Inca Aruba’s 0 wins in 2 matches, and FAS has a stronger goal record (109 scored, 48 conceded) than Inca Aruba (1 scored, 5 conceded).
The match also leans toward goals. Over 2.5 goals is at 54.5%, and both teams to score is at 55.7%, which fits the idea that Inca Aruba’s defense has struggled so far (0 clean sheets, 5 conceded in 2 games) while FAS has been productive (109 goals) and not overly reliant on shutouts (20 clean sheets).
Inca Aruba’s very limited sample size and recent form (LL) keep the outcome from feeling secure, which aligns with the high risk level and only moderate confidence (40). Even with FAS as the more likely winner, the draw probability (21.7%) and the relatively close goal-related probabilities suggest the game could still be competitive.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Sun, 02 Aug 2026 22:03 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.