Hwacheon KSPO W vs Gyeongju W

Hwacheon KSPO W at home have been strong defensively, conceding only 8 goals in 16 matches and keeping 10 clean sheets. Their overall record is 11W 2D 3L, and their recent form includes three wins in their last five games (LWDWW), which supports the idea that they can control the match. Gyeongju W away have been more inconsistent, with 8 wins but 7 losses in 18 matches, and they’ve conceded 23 goals. Their clean sheets are also low (2), suggesting they may struggle to prevent Hwacheon from scoring, even though their recent form shows some resilience (WWDWW). The goal outlook is mixed: Hwacheon’s low concession rate points toward a tighter game, while Gyeongju’s higher goals conceded (23) keeps the door open for Hwacheon to score. With both teams to score just slightly favored (50.1%), a home win remains plausible, but the draw probability is still meaningful (26.1%), so the edge isn’t overwhelming. Overall, the home win lean aligns with Hwacheon’s stronger home record and defensive profile, but the moderate confidence reflects Gyeongju’s ability to pick up results in stretches and the relatively high chance of a draw.