HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell

Motherwell look more likely to win the match, with their away record reading 2W from 2 and a strong defensive profile of 0 goals conceded across those games. HJK Helsinki’s home record is more mixed at 1W 1D 2L, and their goals for and against are level at 7 and 7, suggesting less control at home than Motherwell have shown away. The draw is still plausible because HJK have managed a clean sheet in half of their matches (2 clean sheets in 4) and their recent form includes a draw. However, Motherwell’s recent form is stronger at 2 straight wins, and their clean sheets in both away matches support the idea that they can keep the game tight. On goals, the matchup is slightly more balanced toward scoring than not, with over 2.5 goals at 47.3% and both teams to score at 52.5%. That points to a game where Motherwell may edge the result, but it’s not a clear-cut high-scoring or no-scoring scenario, which aligns with the relatively low confidence and high risk. Overall, the away win case is driven mainly by Motherwell’s perfect away record and zero conceded goals, while the uncertainty comes from HJK’s ability to avoid defeat sometimes and the close probabilities around draws and scoring outcomes.