Hibernian vs Motherwell

Hibernian at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Motherwell’s away record, with 15 wins at home versus Motherwell’s 16 wins away, but Hibernian’s goal difference is a bit weaker (58 scored, 44 conceded) compared with Motherwell’s (59 scored, 36 conceded). That defensive gap suggests Motherwell may be harder to break down, even if they don’t dominate results. The recent form is mixed for both sides. Hibernian’s run is LLWWL, which includes two wins but also two losses, while Motherwell’s is WLDLW, showing more consistency with fewer heavy setbacks. With the draw probability relatively high, the matchup looks capable of staying competitive rather than swinging decisively. For goals, the over 2.5 goals probability is below even money at 47.3%, but both teams to score is more likely at 52.8%. That points toward a game where scoring happens at both ends, yet not necessarily with a high total goal count. The home win lean (41.6% versus 30.7% away) is present, but the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high, reflecting the closeness of the outcomes and Motherwell’s stronger defensive record.