Helsingborg vs IFK Varnamo

Helsingborg have a slightly stronger overall record at home, with 7 wins from 17 matches compared with IFK Varnamo’s 4 wins from 17 away matches. Their goal profile is also marginally better, scoring 30 and conceding 34, while Varnamo score 20 and concede 35, suggesting Helsingborg can create more chances and keep the game more controlled. The recent form leans toward Helsingborg as well, with a sequence of WLWDL versus Varnamo’s LLLDW. That difference aligns with the match outcome probabilities, where Helsingborg are rated 58.4% for a home win, compared with 20.3% for an away win and 21.3% for a draw. There is also support for a relatively active game: over 2.5 goals is favored at 64.2%, and both teams to score is even higher at 63.1%. Helsingborg’s limited clean sheets (2) and Varnamo’s low scoring output (20) still point to goals being likely, but the away side’s poor form keeps the home win as the more plausible result rather than a comfortable margin. With a 73 confidenceScore and medium risk, the home win looks like the best fit, though the draw probability (21.3%) and the strong “both teams to score” lean mean the match could swing if Varnamo manage to score early.